Bringing you just the headlines

  • Why The Yield Curve Inverts In One Simple Picture

    Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk, The yield curve inverts when the Fed keeps hiking in the face of a slowdown... Bianco research noted today "There has not been one instance where the 2-year 5-year spread inverts and the 3-month 10-year spread didn't." OK. But Why? Answer: The Fed kept hiking in the face of a slowing economy as the chart I posted shows. Thus, whether or not the 3-month to 10-year spread inverts may very well depend on how many more hikes the Fed gets in. It's...

    Zero Hedge
  • Flatter Yield Curves Aren't Always Bad News---but This One Is

    Treasury market moves are sending a menacing signal about the economic outlook. An inverted curve is often interpreted as a signal of a looming recession.

  • One Simple Reason the GOP Tax Bill Has Stalled

    Michael RaineyDecember 3, 2018Republicans hold the majority in the House for a few more weeks, but that numerical advantage doesn’t mean much if...

    The Fiscal Times
  • One part of the U.S. yield curve just inverted; what does that mean?

    Part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve "inverted" this week, setting off debate over whether it is delivering a classic signal of oncoming recession or it has just developed a short-term kink that can be explained away by technical reasons.