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  • Weekend Reading: Which Yield Curve Really Matters?

    Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, So, have you heard the one about the “flattening yield curve?” It almost sounds like the start of a bad joke because there have been so many discussions during this past year on it. However, it has been largely dismissed under the “this time is different” scenario as trailing economic data has remained strong and the recent stock market struggles are believed to only be temporary. As I discussed yesterday, however, it is quite likely the...

    Zero Hedge
  • Why The Yield Curve Inverts In One Simple Picture

    Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk, The yield curve inverts when the Fed keeps hiking in the face of a slowdown... Bianco research noted today "There has not been one instance where the 2-year 5-year spread inverts and the 3-month 10-year spread didn't." OK. But Why? Answer: The Fed kept hiking in the face of a slowing economy as the chart I posted shows. Thus, whether or not the 3-month to 10-year spread inverts may very well depend on how many more hikes the Fed gets in. It's...

    Zero Hedge
  • Everyone freaking out about an inverted yield curve is forgetting some things

    A portion of the yield curve has inverted, and that has some economists concerned about the heightened risk of a US recession and a blow to the stock market. But some experts say investors could be missing the bigger picture when looking at this development alone. "The yield curve is simply not consistent with everything else that is going on, most importantly the incoming data," one economist said.  Some investors see the recent inversion of part of the yield curve as an ominous sign. Some...

    markets.businessinsider.com